SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Club Brugge had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for a Club Brugge win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Club Brugge |
73.18% ( -0.01) | 15.9% ( 0) | 10.92% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.93% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.31% ( 0.01) | 33.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.49% ( 0.01) | 55.51% ( -0.01) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.06% ( 0) | 7.94% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.95% ( 0) | 28.05% ( -0) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.58% ( 0.01) | 41.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.07% ( 0.01) | 77.93% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 2-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.91% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.85% 4-0 @ 5.64% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.86% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 2.19% 6-0 @ 1.21% 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.2% Total : 73.18% | 1-1 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.29% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.9% | 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.9% 0-2 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.35% Total : 10.92% |
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