SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eupen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Mechelen |
38.1% ( -0.05) | 24.45% ( -0.01) | 37.45% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.78% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.94% ( 0.04) | 43.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.54% ( 0.03) | 65.46% ( -0.03) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( -0.01) | 22.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.91% ( -0.02) | 56.09% ( 0.02) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( 0.05) | 22.85% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.42% ( 0.07) | 56.58% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.1% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.45% |
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