Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 38%. A win for Genk had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Genk win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
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