SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Genk |
29.94% ( 0.06) | 23.2% ( 0.02) | 46.85% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.89% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.73% ( -0.03) | 39.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.39% ( -0.04) | 61.6% ( 0.04) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( 0.02) | 25.35% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.86% ( 0.03) | 60.14% ( -0.02) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.91% ( -0.04) | 17.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.73% ( -0.07) | 47.27% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.94% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 4.13% Total : 46.85% |
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