SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 75.9%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 10.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Leuven win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Leuven |
75.9% ( 0.05) | 13.91% ( -0.02) | 10.19% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.88% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.61% ( 0.05) | 25.39% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.57% ( 0.07) | 45.42% ( -0.07) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.43% ( 0.02) | 5.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.37% ( 0.06) | 21.62% ( -0.06) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0) | 36.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.62% ( -0) | 73.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.23% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.18% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.14% 5-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.99% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.73% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 4.74% Total : 75.9% | 1-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.28% Total : 13.91% | 1-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)1-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 10.19% |
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