Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 75.9%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 10.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Leuven win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genk in this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Leuven
75.9% ( 0.05)	13.91% ( -0.02)	10.19% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 59.88% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.61% (

0.05)

25.39% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.57% (

0.07)

45.42% (

-0.07)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.43% (

0.02)

5.56% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.37% (

0.06)

21.62% (

-0.06)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.41% (

-0)

36.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.62% (

-0)

73.37%

Score Analysis

Genk 75.9%

Leuven 10.19%

Draw 13.91%

Genk	Draw	Leuven
2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.14% 5-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 4.74% Total : 75.9%	1-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.28% Total : 13.91%	1-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 10.19%