SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 52%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Genk |
25.37% ( -0.53) | 22.62% ( -0.07) | 52% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 60.08% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.01% ( -0.15) | 39.98% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.65% ( -0.15) | 62.35% ( 0.15) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( -0.48) | 28.91% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.21% ( -0.6) | 64.79% ( 0.61) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.51% ( 0.16) | 15.49% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.62% ( 0.29) | 44.37% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.37% Total : 25.37% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 6.01% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.78% Total : 52% |
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