SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Royal Antwerp would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
57.53% ( -0.3) | 22.01% ( 0.04) | 20.47% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 55.71% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.21% ( 0.19) | 42.78% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.81% ( 0.19) | 65.18% ( -0.19) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% ( -0.03) | 14.63% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.25% ( -0.06) | 42.75% ( 0.06) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( 0.37) | 34.74% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.53% ( 0.39) | 71.47% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 57.53% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 20.47% |
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