SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Charleroi |
43.1% ( 1.07) | 24.94% ( 0.14) | 31.97% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.84% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( -1.02) | 46.38% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.34% ( -0.97) | 68.66% ( 0.97) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( 0.06) | 21.54% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( 0.1) | 54.61% ( -0.1) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( -1.25) | 27.57% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.91% ( -1.64) | 63.09% ( 1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Charleroi |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.1% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.97% |
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