Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Westerlo | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
35.89% ( 0.07) | 23.96% ( -0.08) | 40.15% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 61.46% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.19% ( 0.39) | 40.81% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.8% ( 0.4) | 63.2% ( -0.4) |
Westerlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.35% ( 0.21) | 22.65% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.71% ( 0.32) | 56.28% ( -0.32) |
Sint-Truiden Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% ( 0.17) | 20.54% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.95% ( 0.27) | 53.04% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Westerlo | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 40.15% |
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