SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Union SG |
33.98% ( -0.62) | 23.49% ( -0.2) | 42.52% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 62.78% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.09% ( 0.81) | 38.91% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.77% ( 0.85) | 61.22% ( -0.84) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( 0.04) | 22.79% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.5% ( 0.06) | 56.5% ( -0.06) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( 0.69) | 18.68% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.97% ( 1.14) | 50.02% ( -1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.98% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.54% Total : 42.52% |
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