SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Toulouse |
44.58% ( -0.06) | 24.98% ( -0.01) | 30.43% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.97% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.81% ( 0.07) | 47.19% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.58% ( 0.07) | 69.42% ( -0.06) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( 0) | 21.2% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% ( 0) | 54.08% |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( 0.08) | 28.98% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.13% ( 0.1) | 64.87% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.58% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.43% |
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