SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 52.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Union SG |
23.64% ( -0.63) | 23.87% ( -0.03) | 52.5% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 53.93% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.77% ( -0.48) | 47.23% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.54% ( -0.45) | 69.46% ( 0.46) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( -0.81) | 34.27% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.03% ( -0.88) | 70.97% ( 0.89) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( 0.07) | 17.96% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.2% ( 0.12) | 48.8% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.64% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.49% |
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