SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for KV Oostende had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a KV Oostende win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | KV Oostende |
51.82% ( 1.72) | 24.25% ( -0.61) | 23.93% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.45% ( 1.55) | 48.55% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.32% ( 1.39) | 70.68% ( -1.39) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% ( 1.29) | 18.72% ( -1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.91% ( 2.12) | 50.08% ( -2.12) |
| KV Oostende Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% ( -0.12) | 34.73% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% ( -0.13) | 71.46% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | KV Oostende |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.82% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.42)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.1% Total : 23.93% |
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