Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 72.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 9.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.82%) and 3-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Sint-Truiden
72.89% ( -0.01)	17.58% ( 0.01)	9.52% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 42.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.97% (

-0.01)

46.03% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.67% (

-0.01)

68.33% (

0.01)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.83% (

-0)

11.17% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.36% (

-0.01)

35.65% (

0.02)

Sint-Truiden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.62% (

52.38% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.75% (

86.26% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Union SG 72.88%

Sint-Truiden 9.52%

Draw 17.58%

Union SG	Draw	Sint-Truiden
2-0 @ 14.05% 1-0 @ 12.82% 3-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.63% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.64% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% 5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% 6-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 72.88%	1-1 @ 8.29% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.94% Other @ 0.51% Total : 17.58%	0-1 @ 3.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.52%