Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
