SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
52.44% ( -0.04) | 24.32% ( 0.01) | 23.23% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% ( -0.02) | 49.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( -0.02) | 71.54% ( 0.02) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( -0.02) | 18.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.71% ( -0.04) | 50.29% ( 0.03) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.11% ( 0.01) | 35.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.33% ( 0.01) | 72.66% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.37% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 52.44% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.23% |
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