SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
48.65% ( -0.54) | 23.08% ( 0.19) | 28.26% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 61.12% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.23% ( -0.63) | 39.77% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.87% ( -0.66) | 62.12% ( 0.66) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.4% ( -0.43) | 16.6% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.59% ( -0.78) | 46.41% ( 0.78) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% ( -0.08) | 26.71% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.03% ( -0.1) | 61.97% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.4% Total : 48.65% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 28.26% |
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