SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
51.9% ( 0.82) | 23.83% ( -0.27) | 24.27% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( 0.67) | 46.44% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( 0.63) | 68.72% ( -0.63) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( 0.57) | 17.89% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.32% ( 0.97) | 48.68% ( -0.97) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.72% ( -0.1) | 33.28% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.1% ( -0.11) | 69.89% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.57% Total : 51.89% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.27% |
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