Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.02) 
