SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Charleroi |
43.64% ( -0.23) | 24.18% ( 0.05) | 32.17% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 59.58% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.17% ( -0.17) | 42.82% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.77% ( -0.17) | 65.22% ( 0.16) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( -0.17) | 19.8% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.12% ( -0.28) | 51.87% ( 0.27) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( 0.02) | 25.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% ( 0.03) | 60.62% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 43.64% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.17% |
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