Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
Result | ||
Sint-Truiden | Draw | Westerlo |
49.14% ( -0.33) | 23.21% ( 0.04) | 27.66% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 60.19% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.21% ( 0.04) | 40.79% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.82% ( 0.04) | 63.17% ( -0.04) |
Sint-Truiden Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.2% ( -0.1) | 16.8% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.23% ( -0.19) | 46.77% ( 0.19) |
Westerlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.35% ( 0.23) | 27.65% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.8% ( 0.29) | 63.2% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Sint-Truiden | Draw | Westerlo |
2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.19% Total : 49.14% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.86% Total : 27.66% |
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