Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.