Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
