Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Goianiense in this match.
-0.13) 
0.16) 
