Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
0.21) 
-0.35) 
