Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.11) 
