Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
