Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.