Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
