Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for America de Cali had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an America de Cali win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
