Athletico PR
2 - 1
Fortaleza

Eduardo (62'), Kayzer (90+2')
Martins (64'), Canesin (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bergson (18')
de Souza (60'), Bergson (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Fortaleza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Fortaleza
43.27%	28.3%	28.42%

Both teams to score 44.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.15%

60.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.12%

80.88%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09%

27.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.47%

63.52%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.35%

37.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.57%

74.42%

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 43.27%

Fortaleza 28.42%

Draw 28.29%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 13.4% 2-0 @ 8.56% 2-1 @ 8.36% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.72% Total : 43.27%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.29%	0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.7% Total : 28.42%