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Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Aug 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
B

Bahia
4 - 0
Bragantino

Rezende (9'), Hugo (38'), Mingotti (60'), Oliveira Souza (84')
Kanu (13'), Rezende (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Silva (16'), Patrick (43'), Jadsom (45+2'), Hurtado (50'), Goncalves Martins (73')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Bragantino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Bahia
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Vasco
Tuesday, August 15 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawBragantino
37.43% (-0.585 -0.59) 26.3% (0.058 0.06) 36.26% (0.524 0.52)
Both teams to score 53.21% (-0.167 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53% (-0.225 -0.23)51.46% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.2 -0.2)73.27% (0.196 0.2)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28% (-0.43499999999999 -0.43)26.71% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02% (-0.578 -0.58)61.97% (0.575 0.57)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (0.20099999999999 0.2)27.39% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (0.26 0.26)62.86% (-0.263 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 37.43%
    Bragantino 36.26%
    Draw 26.29%
BahiaDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 9.66% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.43%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.47% (0.138 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.14% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 36.26%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Bahia
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 3-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, August 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-0 Corinthians
Saturday, July 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Bahia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Vasco
Tuesday, August 15 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 3-3 America Mineiro (3-4 pen.)
Friday, August 11 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Bragantino
Sunday, August 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-1 Bragantino
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-3 Bragantino
Saturday, July 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Internacional
Sunday, July 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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