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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 26, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio de Pituacu

Bahia
2 - 4
Torque

Anderson (2'), Paraiba (47')
Bahia (20'), Anderson (56'), de Lucca (86')
Bahia (28'), Conti (53')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pizzichillo (25'), Scotto (39'), Allende (77'), Guzman (90+2')
Pereira (35'), Pizzichillo (69'), Del Prete (79'), Arismendi (90+1')
Guruceaga (65')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bahia and Montevideo City Torque.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.54%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawMontevideo City Torque
40.66%23.21%36.12%
Both teams to score 64.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.9%37.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.71%59.28%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.27%18.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.9%50.09%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15%20.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47%53.53%
Score Analysis
    Bahia 40.66%
    Montevideo City Torque 36.12%
    Draw 23.21%
BahiaDrawMontevideo City Torque
2-1 @ 8.59%
1-0 @ 6.54%
2-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 40.66%
1-1 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.9%
3-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-1 @ 6.12%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 4.2%
2-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 2.51%
1-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 36.12%

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