Independiente
1 - 0
Bahia

Anderson (83' og.)
Palacios (63'), Barreto (64'), Bustos (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodrigoinho (75'), Douglas Oliveira Silva (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente and Bahia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 37.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Bahia
37.88%	24.69%	37.43%

Both teams to score 58.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.8%

44.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.42%

66.58%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.86%

23.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.99%

57.01%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63%

23.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.65%

57.35%

Score Analysis

Independiente 37.88%

Bahia 37.43%

Draw 24.69%

Independiente	Draw	Bahia
2-1 @ 8.42% 1-0 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.88%	1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 8.36% 0-1 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.43%