SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 37.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Bahia |
| 37.88% | 24.69% | 37.43% |
| Both teams to score 58.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.8% | 44.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.42% | 66.58% |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% | 23.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.99% | 57.01% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% | 23.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.65% | 57.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Bahia |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% 1-0 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.88% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-1 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.43% |
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