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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Jun 17, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estádio do Pacaembu
B

Corinthians
1 - 2
Bragantino

Roni (19')
Gil (90+1'), Ramos (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Silva (52'), Ramires (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawBragantino
33.84%25.46%40.71%
Both teams to score 55.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89%48.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.73%70.27%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77%27.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.34%62.66%
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57%23.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.56%57.44%
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 33.84%
    Bragantino 40.71%
    Draw 25.45%
CorinthiansDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 8.3%
2-1 @ 7.83%
2-0 @ 5.4%
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.38%
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 9.26%
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 6.72%
1-3 @ 4.23%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.71%

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