Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
