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AP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 17, 2021 at 8pm UK
Arena da Baixada
F

Athletico PR
0 - 1
Fluminense


Fasson (42'), Hernandez (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ivaldo (34' og.)
Arias (45+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 44.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFluminense
44.15%28.08%27.77%
Both teams to score 45.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.6%60.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.46%80.54%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77%27.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.34%62.65%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.07%37.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29%74.7%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 44.14%
    Fluminense 27.76%
    Draw 28.07%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 13.43%
2-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 8.47%
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 44.14%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.07%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 27.76%

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