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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Oct 13, 2021 at 11pm UK
Arena Conda
AP

Chapecoense
1 - 1
Athletico PR

Ribeiro (58')
Rodriguinho (12'), Leite (44'), Ribeiro (46'), Busanello (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Christian (89')
Ivaldo (44'), Nikao (46'), Richard (46'), Heleno (53'), Pedrinho (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.51%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
ChapecoenseDrawAthletico Paranaense
34.01%29.24%36.75%
Both teams to score 44.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.3%62.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.75%82.25%
Chapecoense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52%34.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81%71.19%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34%32.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.79%69.2%
Score Analysis
    Chapecoense 34%
    Athletico Paranaense 36.74%
    Draw 29.23%
ChapecoenseDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.98%
2-1 @ 7.15%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 34%
1-1 @ 13.41%
0-0 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.23%
0-1 @ 12.59%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 7.05%
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.74%

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