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Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 29, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
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Atletico Mineiro
1 - 1
Palmeiras

Vargas (52')
Silva (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dudu (68')
Rocha (64'), Garcia (69'), Weverton (70'), Melo (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
48.18%24.27%27.55%
Both teams to score 56.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.3%45.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.98%68.02%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94%19.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.35%50.65%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73%30.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55%66.44%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 48.18%
    Palmeiras 27.55%
    Draw 24.26%
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 9.56%
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 7.93%
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 48.18%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 5.77%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.89%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 27.55%

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