Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 48.53%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 25.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sport Recife in this match.
