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Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Dec 27, 2020 at 9.15pm UK
Arena da Baixada
VD

Athletico PR
3 - 0
Vasco

Nikao (10'), Eduardo (38', 61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Carlinhos (45+1')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Vasco da Gama.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 26.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawVasco da Gama
45.19%28.24%26.57%
Both teams to score 44.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.53%61.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.66%81.34%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8%27.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39%62.61%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.46%39.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.77%76.23%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 45.19%
    Vasco da Gama 26.57%
    Draw 28.23%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 14%
2-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 8.46%
3-0 @ 3.96%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 45.19%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 9.98%
1-2 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 26.57%

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