Coritiba
1 - 2
Bahia

Augusto (3')
Robson (31'), Mailton (72'), Augusto (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Elber (36'), Zeca (72')
Danielzinho (57'), Rodrigoinho (71'), Ronaldo (87'), Gregore (90+3')

Data Analysis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Bahia
29.71%	29%	41.29%

Both teams to score 43.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.31%

62.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.76%

82.24%

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.36%

37.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.59%

74.41%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1%

29.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34%

66%

Score Analysis

Coritiba 29.7%

Bahia 41.29%

Draw 28.99%

Coritiba	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 6.49% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.71% Total : 29.7%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.99%	0-1 @ 13.58% 0-2 @ 8.2% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-3 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.42% Total : 41.29%