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Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Aug 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Heriberto Hulse
VD

Criciuma
2 - 2
Vasco

Bolasie (6', 90+4')
Allano (22'), Rodrigo (44'), Angel (82')
FT(HT: 1-2)
David (36'), Rayan (45+4')
Henrique (77'), Rossi (87')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Criciuma and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Criciuma
Saturday, August 10 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Fluminense
Sunday, August 11 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
CriciumaDrawVasco da Gama
33.95% (0.346 0.35) 27.08% (0.0019999999999989 0) 38.96% (-0.345 -0.34)
Both teams to score 50.43% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (0.055 0.05)54.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (0.044999999999998 0.04)76.17% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Criciuma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (0.254 0.25)30.49% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (0.3 0.3)66.7% (-0.29600000000001 -0.3)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)27.45% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06% (-0.217 -0.22)62.94% (0.219 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Criciuma 33.95%
    Vasco da Gama 38.96%
    Draw 27.08%
CriciumaDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 10.82% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 38.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Criciuma
Saturday, August 10 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 4 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-2 Criciuma
Saturday, July 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, July 24 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Criciuma
Saturday, July 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Criciuma
Wednesday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Fluminense
Sunday, August 11 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Atletico GO
Wednesday, August 7 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vasco 2-2 Bragantino
Saturday, August 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-1 Vasco
Thursday, August 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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