While Vasco da Gama have suffered a drop-off in form of late, they will be backing themselves against an out-of-sorts Goianiense side who have failed to win their last 13 matches in all competitions. Paiva's men are currently unbeaten in six straight home matches and we fancy them to come away with the desired result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vasco da Gama.
0.71) 
-0.41) 
