SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cuiaba | Draw | Bahia |
37.77% ( -0.03) | 26.62% ( -0.03) | 35.6% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.11% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.15% ( 0.13) | 52.85% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.53% ( 0.11) | 74.46% ( -0.11) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0.04) | 27.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% ( 0.06) | 62.57% ( -0.06) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( 0.1) | 28.45% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.79% ( 0.13) | 64.21% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cuiaba | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.77% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.6% |
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