Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.04) 
