Cuiaba have done well to compete and stay in the majority of their encounters, but they consistently struggle to maintain quality and discipline, which we believe will tip the scales in favour of the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.
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