Goals are likely to be thin on the ground at Estadio da Serrinha, as both teams are short of confidence and the stakes are already high at this stage of the season - with either side hoping to escape the bottom four. Home advantage should swing a tight contest the way of Goias.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Goias in this match.
-0.19) 
0.03) 
