Corinthians have looked more than comfortable away from home, making the most of their opportunities in the final third, and we expect their patience and persistence will eventually pay off against a Cuiaba team who are well organised but rarely bring numbers forward to attack.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuiaba in this match.
-0.34) 
0.04) 
