Cuiaba's drought cannot continue for ever, and their hosts have one of the division's worst defensive records this season, so a low-scoring draw could be on the cards at Ressacada.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.05) 
