With both teams still with something to play for, the home side and the visitors both need a win on Monday, which is why the two teams could get on the scoresheet.
However, with slightly better form entering this match, Fortaleza are expected to come out on top and secure their Copa Libertadores position.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 46.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 25.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuiaba in this match.
